Pablo Carreno Busta vs Dominic StrickerBasel Round of 16

Basel · ATP · Round of 16
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 October 2022
hard
#343ATP
1533ELO
1509Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLW
Carreno Busta P.
7-5 6-7 6-4
Stricker D.
Carreno Busta P.
76362
Stricker D.
57741

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Dominic Stricker 7-5 6-7 6-4 in the Basel round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Stricker D.

Stricker D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Stricker D.
21
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
7.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 188). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
58
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
92
Break points won·Dominant
61
9
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.6+235 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1509
7.6Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1533
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
6.3
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
98

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Stricker D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast