Holger Rune vs Roberto Bautista AgutBasel Semi-final

Basel · ATP · Semi-final
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 October 2022
hard
#183ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Rune H.
7-6 7-6
Bautista Agut R.
Rune H.
77782
Bautista Agut R.
61660

Holger Rune defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 7-6 7-6 in the Basel semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubQFgrassRoberto Bautista Agut7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-2
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayHolger Rune6-7(4) 6-4 6-3 6-2
2024-08-05Canada MastersR64hardHolger Rune6-2 3-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Bautista Agut R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Bautista Agut R.
47
Serve
23
58
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
85
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Slight edge
84
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+56 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1668
5.6Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1700
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
5.2
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.5
Minutes 14d
7.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Bautista Agut R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast