Holger Rune vs Stefanos TsitsipasStockholm Final

Stockholm · ATP · Final
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022
hard
#87ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
Rune H.
6-4 6-4
Tsitsipas S.
Rune H.
662
Tsitsipas S.
440

Holger Rune defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 6-4 in the Stockholm final on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR16hardHolger Rune6-4 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardHolger Rune2-1 RET
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR16clayHolger Rune7-5 3-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Tsitsipas S.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Tsitsipas S.
47
Serve
57
58
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
7.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
91
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Slight edge
84
77
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
5.8+78 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1833
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
8.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.1
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Tsitsipas S.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
12°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 65%