Juan Pablo Varillas vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardAmbato CH Round of 16

Ambato CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022
clay
#89ATP
1738ELO
1673Clay ELO
$499kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLL
Varillas J.
7-6 7-6
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Varillas J.
78772
Mpetshi Perricard G.
66640

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-6 7-6 in the Ambato CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard came in ranked #89.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mpetshi Perricard G.

Mpetshi Perricard G.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
68%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
29%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
15.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
55
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
98
Break points won·Dominant
43
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1431
Surface ELO
7.5+242 Clay Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1738
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
5.4
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
5.3
4.0
3-set count
4.0
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
55
95

Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d) · Mpetshi Perricard G.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast