Juan Pablo Varillas vs Nicolas Mejia — Ambato CH Quarter-final

Ambato CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER1
Juan Pablo Varillas
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022
clay
Nicolas Mejia
COL
Nicolas Mejia
#133ATP
1477ELO
1488Clay ELO
$142kYTD
$524kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
Varillas J.
6-2 7-6
Mejia N.
Varillas J.
6792
Mejia N.
2670

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Nicolas Mejia 6-2 7-6 in the Ambato CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Nicolas Mejia came in ranked #133.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Mejia N.

Mejia N.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Varillas J.Mejia N.
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Varillas J.Mejia N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
26
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
74
Break points won·Dominant
43
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
40
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Varillas J.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Mejia N.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1431
Surface ELO
5.8+57 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
6.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
6.7
4.0
3-set count
4.0
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Varillas J.Mejia N.
Freshness·Slight edge
62
55

Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Mejia N.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 116 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Bagnis F.[2]
Reis Da Silva J.
7-676-4
Semi-finals
Bagnis F.[2]
Tirante T.[8]
6-36-737-65
Reis Da Silva J.
Varillas J.[1]
6-46-4
Quarter-finals
Tirante T.[8]
Mena F.[4]
6-27-5
Reis Da Silva J.
Zekic M.[7]
7-616-1
Varillas J.[1]
Mejia N.
6-27-67
Bagnis F.[2]
Rodriguez Taverna S.[5]
6-46-3
R16
Bagnis F.[2]
Milojevic N.
7-666-4
Rodriguez Taverna S.[5]
Otegui J.
6-46-4
Mena F.[4]
Andrade A.
6-36-4
Zekic M.[7]
Lock B.
6-36-4
Tirante T.[8]
Pannu K.
6-26-2
Reis Da Silva J.
Alvarez N.
5-76-16-4
Mejia N.
Panta Herreros J.
6-36-4
Varillas J.[1]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-667-64
R32
Lock B.
Juarez F.
6-47-5
Mena F.[4]
Zukas M.
4-66-16-0
Andrade A.
Cuenin S.
5-77-667-5
Pannu K.
Huertas Del Pino C.
6-36-2
Tirante T.[8]
Guillen Meza A.
7-637-5
Reis Da Silva J.
Ficovich J.[3]
7-696-4
Mejia N.
Melzer G.[6]
7-57-66
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Choinski J.
6-37-66
Varillas J.[1]
Ogura K.
6-26-2
Panta Herreros J.
Quiroz R.
1-66-46-2
Otegui J.
Popko D.
6-47-5
Alvarez N.
Dellien Velasco M.
7-636-3
Zekic M.[7]
Balaji N.
6-47-69
Milojevic N.
March C.
7-56-1
Bagnis F.[2]
Huertas Del Pino A.
6-37-60
Rodriguez Taverna S.[5]
Jaziri M.
6-16-3