Luca Potenza vs Jacopo BerrettiniVilnius CH Qualifying Round 1

Vilnius CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#451ATP
1342ELO
1317Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022
hard
#546ATP
1325ELO
1258Hard ELO
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLLL
Potenza L.
3-6 6-4 7-5
Berrettini J.
Potenza L.
3672
Berrettini J.
6451

Luca Potenza defeated Jacopo Berrettini 3-6 6-4 7-5 in the Vilnius CH qualifying round 1 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Potenza L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Berrettini J.

Berrettini J.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Potenza L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
3
2
Break points saved·Slight edge
34
23
Break points won·Slight edge
7
17
Deciding sets·Clear edge
38
21
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+60 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1258
5.3Overall Elo 1342
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1325
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
2.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Potenza L.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast