Zhizhen Zhang vs Sebastian Baez — Naples Round of 16

Naples · ATP · Round of 16
CHN
Zhizhen Zhang
#224ATP
1659ELO
1631Hard ELO
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022
hard
ARG
Sebastian Baez
[6]
#64ATP
1737ELO
1697Hard ELO
$795kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
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Zhizhen Zhang defeated Sebastian Baez 7-6 7-6 in the Naples round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #64, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Zhizhen Zhang claimed a first win over Sebastian Baez in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zhang Z.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Baez S.
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1631
Surface ELO
5.6+67 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1659
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1737
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 9
Fatigue & Travel
2.2
Minutes 14d
8.8
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Zhang Z.
777132
Baez S.
656110

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR128hardSebastian Baez2-6 6-3 6-4

Statistics

Recent form
Zhang Z.Baez S.
64%1st serve in+7%71%
72%1st serve points won+8%64%
48%2nd serve points won+2%50%
63%Service points won+3%60%
34%Return points won+5%39%
63%Break points saved+3%60%
7.8Aces / match+6.21.6
1.9Double faults / match+0.11.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Musetti L.[4]
Berrettini M.[2]
7-656-2
Semi-finals
Musetti L.[4]
Kecmanovic M.[5]
6-36-4
Berrettini M.[2]
Mcdonald M.
3-67-626-3
Quarter-finals
Berrettini M.[2]
Daniel T.
6-26-3
Musetti L.[4]
Galan D.
6-36-0
Mcdonald M.
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-2
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Carreno Busta P.[1]
7-56-2
R16
Berrettini M.[2]
Carballes Baena R.
6-46-2
Musetti L.[4]
Djere L.
7-56-3
Zhang Z.
Baez S.[6]
7-657-611
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Moutet C.
5-3
Mcdonald M.
Bautista Agut R.[3]
6-46-4
Galan D.
Borges N.
7-656-4
Carreno Busta P.[1]
Fognini F.
6-16-1
Daniel T.
Cachin P.
6-47-62
R32
Fognini F.
Grenier H.
6-43-66-3
Moutet C.
Nardi L.
6-777-636-2
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Cobolli F.
6-16-2
Cachin P.
Mannarino A.[8]
6-13-66-4
Djere L.
Gojo B.
6-47-66
Carballes Baena R.
Jarry N.
6-46-4
Borges N.
Ramos A.[7]
7-57-65
Baez S.[6]
Sonego L.
7-57-63
Mcdonald M.
Passaro F.
6-37-5
Daniel T.
Martinez P.
6-36-3
Galan D.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-46-4
Zhang Z.
Fucsovics M.
6-47-68