Cem Ilkel vs Matteo ArnaldiVilnius CH Round of 32

Vilnius CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#1462ATP
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Ilkel C.
6-3 6-2
Arnaldi M.
Ilkel C.
662
Arnaldi M.
320

Cem Ilkel defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-3 6-2 in the Vilnius CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ilkel C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ilkel C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ilkel C.Arnaldi M.
Serve
23
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (123 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
78
Break points saved·Dominant
49
97
Break points won·Dominant
3
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
0.7
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast