Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliCoquimbo CH Round of 16

Coquimbo CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#110ATP
1681ELO
1668Clay ELO
$264kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Diaz Acosta F.
6-3 6-1
Ugo Carabelli C.
Diaz Acosta F.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
310

Facundo Diaz Acosta defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-3 6-1 in the Coquimbo CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, leading the head-to-head 2–0, but Facundo Diaz Acosta had been the form player, winning 8 of their last 9 on clay. Facundo Diaz Acosta claimed a first win over Camilo Ugo Carabelli in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-27SantiagoQ1clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 6-4
2021-02-22CordobaQ2clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli4-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Diaz Acosta F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Diaz Acosta F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Diaz Acosta F.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
58
78
Break points saved·Even
89
90
Break points won·Dominant
33
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
67
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Clay Elo 1668
Surface ELO
7.0+72 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1759
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.4
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
53
100

Diaz Acosta F.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast