Aryna Sabalenka vs Sloane StephensSan Diego Round of 16

San Diego · WTA · Round of 16
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#317WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLWL
Sabalenka A.
1-6 6-3 6-2
Stephens S.
Sabalenka A.
1662
Stephens S.
6321

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Sloane Stephens 1-6 6-3 6-2 in the San Diego round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR128hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR16clayAryna Sabalenka7-6(5) 6-4
2021-08-09MontrealR32hardAryna Sabalenka7-6(4) 4-6 6-4
2017-11-11Fed Cup WG F: USA vs BLRRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 3-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Stephens S.

Stephens S.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Stephens S.
96
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
78
Break points won·Slight edge
100
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
55
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 56 days (−1.0)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+572 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1630
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1683
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.7
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast