Tommy Paul vs Nicolas Alvarez VaronaGijon Round of 16

Gijon · ATP · Round of 16
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#457ATP
1353ELO
1382Hard ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
Paul T.
6-3 7-6
Alvarez Varona N.
Paul T.
6772
Alvarez Varona N.
3630

Tommy Paul defeated Nicolas Alvarez Varona 6-3 7-6 in the Gijon round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Alvarez Varona N.

Alvarez Varona N.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Alvarez Varona N.
71
Serve
54
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
5
Break points saved·Dominant
99
40
Break points won·Dominant
87
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+499 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1382
10.0Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1353
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
3.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.2
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast