Naoki Nakagawa vs Alexei PopyrinSeoul CH Round of 32

Seoul CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#776ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Nakagawa N.
3-6 7-5 7-6
Popyrin A.
Nakagawa N.
37782
Popyrin A.
65661

Naoki Nakagawa defeated Alexei Popyrin 3-6 7-5 7-6 in the Seoul CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexei Popyrin came in ranked #103.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakagawa N.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nakagawa N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakagawa N.Popyrin A.
Serve
41
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
9.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (122 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
59
Break points saved·Dominant
57
99
Break points won·Slight edge
1
6
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
75
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1271
Surface ELO
10.0+410 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1289
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1741
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
2.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Popyrin A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast