Lorenzo Musetti vs Bernabe Zapata MirallesFlorence Round of 16

Florence · ATP · Round of 16
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
1413ELO
1366Hard ELO
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Musetti L.
6-3 6-0
Zapata Miralles B.
Musetti L.
662
Zapata Miralles B.
300

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-3 6-0 in the Florence round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-09-14Rome MastersQ1clayLorenzo Musetti7-6(2) 0-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Zapata Miralles B.

Zapata Miralles B.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve advantage — Musetti L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Zapata Miralles B.
54
Serve
62
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
49
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
74
Break points won·Even
82
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
3

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+437 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1366
10.0Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1413
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.3
Surface form
4.3
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast