Lorenzo Musetti vs Mackenzie McdonaldFlorence Quarter-final

Florence · ATP · Quarter-final
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Musetti L.
6-3 6-2
Mcdonald M.
Musetti L.
662
Mcdonald M.
320

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 6-2 in the Florence quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Mcdonald M.
54
Serve
25
62
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
56
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Clear edge
82
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+199 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1604
9.1Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1606
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
4.2
7.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast