Corentin Moutet vs Flavio CobolliFlorence Round of 32

Florence · ATP · Round of 32
#39ATP
1745ELO
1727Hard ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Moutet C.
4-6 7-5 6-4
Cobolli F.
Moutet C.
4762
Cobolli F.
6541

Corentin Moutet defeated Flavio Cobolli 4-6 7-5 6-4 in the Florence round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moutet C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Moutet C.Cobolli F.
7
Serve
20
68
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
82
76
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Dominant
75
35
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1727
Surface ELO
5.6+83 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1896
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
4.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
56

Moutet C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast