Federico Coria vs Juan Manuel CerundoloRio De Janeiro CH Quarter-final

Rio De Janeiro CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
clay
#45ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWWW
Coria F.
6-7 6-4 6-3
Cerundolo J.
Coria F.
64662
Cerundolo J.
77431

Federico Coria defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-7 6-4 6-3 in the Rio De Janeiro CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #45, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Federico Coria claimed a first win over Juan Manuel Cerundolo in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-22CordobaSFclayJuan Manuel Cerundolo6-4 4-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving59% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Coria F.Cerundolo J.
Serve
15
Return
41

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
71
82
Break points won·Slight edge
72
80
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
6.7+246 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1790
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
100

Coria F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Cerundolo J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast