Arthur Rinderknech vs Pablo Carreno BustaGijon Quarter-final

Gijon · ATP · Quarter-final
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Rinderknech A.
4-6 6-3 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Rinderknech A.
467182
Carreno Busta P.
636161

Arthur Rinderknech defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 4-6 6-3 7-6 in the Gijon quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Arthur Rinderknech came in ranked #28.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rinderknech A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rinderknech A.Carreno Busta P.
50
Serve
21
1
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.1
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
58
78
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
6
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+4 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1744
5.7Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1801
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
6.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
9.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
89

Rinderknech A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast