Alexander Bublik vs Cristian GarinFlorence Round of 32

Florence · ATP · Round of 32
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#125ATP
1667ELO
1572Hard ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Bublik A.
7-5 6-2
Garin C.
Bublik A.
762
Garin C.
520

Alexander Bublik defeated Cristian Garin 7-5 6-2 in the Florence round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11. Alexander Bublik claimed a first win over Cristian Garin in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-04Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs CHIRRclayCristian Garin6-4 3-6 6-3
2020-09-21HamburgQFclayCristian Garin3-6 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Garin C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Garin C.
65
Serve
25
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Clear edge
67
45
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+265 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1572
8.0Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1667
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
3.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.4
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast