Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Jenson BrooksbyFlorence Round of 32

Florence · ATP · Round of 32
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#81ATP
1694ELO
1682Hard ELO
$530kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLL
Mcdonald M.
6-4 4-6 6-1
Brooksby J.
Mcdonald M.
6462
Brooksby J.
4611

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Jenson Brooksby 6-4 4-6 6-1 in the Florence round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jenson Brooksby came in ranked #81, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Mackenzie Mcdonald narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Mackenzie Mcdonald came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30HoustonR32clayMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-2
2022-09-19San DiegoR16hardJenson Brooksby6-4 3-6 6-2
2022-07-25AtlantaR16hardJenson Brooksby6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Brooksby J.

Brooksby J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve advantage — Mcdonald M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Brooksby J.
25
Serve
14
10
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
88
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Clear edge
66
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1604
Surface ELO
6.1+78 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1694
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.4
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.2
Minutes 14d
6.8
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
88

Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Brooksby J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast