Jelle Sels vs Otto VirtanenMouilleron Le Captif CH Quarter-final

Mouilleron Le Captif CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#524ATP
1313ELO
1333Hard ELO
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#126ATP
1706ELO
1674Hard ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Sels J.
6-3 6-4
Virtanen O.
Sels J.
662
Virtanen O.
340

Jelle Sels defeated Otto Virtanen 6-3 6-4 in the Mouilleron Le Captif CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Otto Virtanen came in ranked #126.

Key context

  • Match story: Jelle Sels closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sels J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Virtanen O.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sels J.

Serve advantage — Virtanen O.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
8.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
15
48
Break points saved·Dominant
61
94
Break points won·Even
4
3
Deciding sets·Clear edge
40
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.7Hard Elo 1333
Surface ELO
9.3+341 Hard Elo edge
0.1Overall Elo 1313
ELO gap
9.9Overall Elo 1706
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
80

Sels J.: 20 days rest · Virtanen O.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast