Elena Rybakina vs Aliaksandra SasnovichOstrava Round of 16

Ostrava · WTA · Round of 16
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#143WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Rybakina E.
6-7 6-4 7-5
Sasnovich A.
Rybakina E.
65672
Sasnovich A.
77451

Elena Rybakina defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-7 6-4 7-5 in the Ostrava round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-09-27Chicago 2R32hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-4
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardElena Rybakina6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Sasnovich A.
100
Serve
37
34
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
61
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
79
Break points won·Even
96
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
10.0+413 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1697
10.0Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1726
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.7
Surface form
7.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
100

Rybakina E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sasnovich A.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast