Denis Shapovalov vs Rio NoguchiTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#213ATP
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
Shapovalov D.
6-3 6-1
Noguchi R.
Shapovalov D.
662
Noguchi R.
310

Denis Shapovalov defeated Rio Noguchi 6-3 6-1 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Noguchi R.

Noguchi R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Noguchi R.
25
Serve
70
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
23
Break points saved·Dominant
99
25
Break points won·Dominant
71
26
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 182 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.3+263 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Hard Elo 1513
8.1Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1532
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
81

Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Noguchi R.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 64%