Brandon Nakashima vs Shintaro MochizukiTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Nakashima B.
6-3 6-2
Mochizuki S.
Nakashima B.
662
Mochizuki S.
320

Brandon Nakashima defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 6-2 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve advantage — Nakashima B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Mochizuki S.
61
Serve
23
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
52
Break points saved·Dominant
99
74
Break points won·Dominant
13
55
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
46
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.1+363 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Hard Elo 1425
8.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
3.2
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
77

Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mochizuki S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 64%