Iga Swiatek vs Caty McnallyOstrava Quarter-final

Ostrava · WTA · Quarter-final
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#50WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Swiatek I.
6-4 6-4
Mcnally C.
Swiatek I.
662
Mcnally C.
440

Iga Swiatek defeated Caty Mcnally 6-4 6-4 in the Ostrava quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's semi-final. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Iga Swiatek edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08RomeR64clayIga Swiatek1-6 7-6 3-6
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassIga Swiatek5-7 6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Mcnally C.
67
Serve
26
98
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
73
Break points saved·Dominant
98
73
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
8.8+291 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Hard Elo 1731
8.3Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1817
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
3.6
Win streak
0.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
96

Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mcnally C.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast