Caty Mcnally vs Karolina MuchovaOstrava Round of 16

Ostrava · WTA · Round of 16
#57WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#6WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Mcnally C.
6-1 3-6 6-1
Muchova K.
Mcnally C.
6362
Muchova K.
1611

Caty Mcnally defeated Karolina Muchova 6-1 3-6 6-1 in the Ostrava round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #6.

Key context

  • Match story: Caty Mcnally closed it out in three sets, 6–1 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mcnally C.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Serve advantage — Muchova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcnally C.Muchova K.
26
Serve
70
45
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 162). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
95
Break points saved·Dominant
73
98
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1731
Surface ELO
9.0+303 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1817
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 2066
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.8
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
56

Mcnally C.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast