Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Kaichi UchidaTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#259ATP
1355ELO
1331Hard ELO
31 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Mcdonald M.
7-6 6-7 6-3
Uchida K.
Mcdonald M.
776262
Uchida K.
647731

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Kaichi Uchida 7-6 6-7 6-3 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #140.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Uchida K.

Uchida K.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve advantage — Mcdonald M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Uchida K.
25
Serve
10
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
8
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
73
Break points won·Dominant
66
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
3
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
44
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+273 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1331
8.4Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1355
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
5.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
8.6
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
92

Mcdonald M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Uchida K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 64%