Hugo Gaston vs Valentin RoyerMouilleron Le Captif CH Round of 16

Mouilleron Le Captif CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#107ATP
1622ELO
1628Hard ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#77ATP
1641ELO
1585Hard ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Gaston H.
7-6 6-4
Royer V.
Gaston H.
7762
Royer V.
6540

Hugo Gaston defeated Valentin Royer 7-6 6-4 in the Mouilleron Le Captif CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Valentin Royer came in ranked #77.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gaston H.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Royer V.

Royer V.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Serve advantage — Royer V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gaston H.Royer V.
Serve
30
Return
20

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
5.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
59
Break points saved·Even
91
94
Break points won·Dominant
57
30
Deciding sets·Even
78
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.5+43 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1585
4.7Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1641
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
2.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
51
62

Gaston H.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 128 games (7d) · Royer V.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast