Taylor Fritz vs Frances TiafoeTokyo Final

Tokyo · ATP · Final
#10ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#17ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Fritz T.
7-6 7-6
Tiafoe F.
Fritz T.
77772
Tiafoe F.
63620

Taylor Fritz defeated Frances Tiafoe 7-6 7-6 in the Tokyo final on hard. The result followed the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 6–2. Taylor Fritz extended the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

62
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-21HalleFgrassFrances Tiafoe4-6 4-6
2024-08-26US OpenSFhardTaylor Fritz4-6 7-5 4-6 6-4 6-1
2023-02-27AcapulcoQFhardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-4
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz5-7 6-1 6-4
2022-01-17Australian OpenR64hardTaylor Fritz6-4 6-3 7-6(5)
2019-10-28Paris MastersR64hardTaylor Fritz7-6(6) 3-6 6-4
2016-08-22Winston-SalemR64hardTaylor Fritz6-1 6-4
2016-03-07Indian Wells MastersR128hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fritz T.Tiafoe F.
76
Serve
38
32
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
70%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.5
8.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
83
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Even
60
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
92
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0Hard Elo 1839
Surface ELO
4.0+23 Hard Elo edge
6.2Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1918
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.7
Surface form
5.6
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
79

Fritz T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d) · Tiafoe F.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 64%