Juan Pablo Varillas vs Gastao EliasCampinas CH Round of 32

Campinas CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
clay
#728ATP
1447ELO
1425Clay ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
Varillas J.
7-6 6-4
Elias G.
Varillas J.
7762
Elias G.
6240

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Gastao Elias 7-6 6-4 in the Campinas CH round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Juan Pablo Varillas came in ranked #279, defending last year's round of 16. Juan Pablo Varillas claimed a first win over Gastao Elias in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-17Australian OpenQ2hardGastao Elias7-6(7) 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Elias G.

Elias G.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 172). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
37
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
57
Break points won·Clear edge
43
24
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+6 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1425
5.4Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1447
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
3.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
5.8
7.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
62

Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast