Borna Coric vs Brandon NakashimaTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
#855ATP
29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Coric B.
7-5 6-2
Nakashima B.
Coric B.
762
Nakashima B.
520

Borna Coric defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-5 6-2 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32.

Key context

  • Match story: Borna Coric closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Coric B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Coric B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Coric B.Nakashima B.
Serve
61
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (167 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
56
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
36
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
84
64
Tiebreaks·Even
90
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
7.7
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Nakashima B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 64%