Jozef Kovalik vs Flavio CobolliParma CH Round of 16

Parma CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#886ATP
1473ELO
1466Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
clay
#9ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Kovalik J.
5-7 6-3 6-2
Cobolli F.
Kovalik J.
5662
Cobolli F.
7321

Jozef Kovalik defeated Flavio Cobolli 5-7 6-3 6-2 in the Parma CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9, but Jozef Kovalik had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kovalik J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kovalik J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kovalik J.Cobolli F.
Serve
53
Return
56

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
31
76
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
96
Break points won·Clear edge
18
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.1Clay Elo 1466
Surface ELO
9.9+397 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1473
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1896
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
2.6
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
71

Kovalik J.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast