Yoshihito Nishioka vs Denis ShapovalovSeoul Final

Seoul · ATP · Final
#177ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 September 2022
hard
#39ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Nishioka Y.
6-4 7-6
Shapovalov D.
Nishioka Y.
6772
Shapovalov D.
4650

Yoshihito Nishioka defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-4 7-6 in the Seoul final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #39. Yoshihito Nishioka extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-09-24ShenzhenR16hardYoshihito Nishioka7-6(5) 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Nishioka Y.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishioka Y.Shapovalov D.
Serve
21
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
8.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
84
85
Break points saved·Even
95
99
Break points won·Clear edge
59
71
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 42 days (−1.0)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
6.7+116 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1689
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1771
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
4.0
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Shapovalov D.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast