Danka Kovinic vs Jasmine PaoliniParma Quarter-final

Parma · WTA · Quarter-final
#1096WTA
31 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 September 2022
clay
#15WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Kovinic D.
6-4 6-4
Paolini J.
Kovinic D.
662
Paolini J.
440

Danka Kovinic defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-4 6-4 in the Parma quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Danka Kovinic claimed a first win over Jasmine Paolini in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Danka Kovinic edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-25WarsawR32clayJasmine Paolini6-1 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kovinic D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kovinic D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (78 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
33
89
Break points saved·Dominant
28
87
Break points won·Dominant
74
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.1
Surface form
6.2
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.3
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Paolini J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast