Yoshihito Nishioka vs Aleksandar KovacevicSeoul Semi-final

Seoul · ATP · Semi-final
#177ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 September 2022
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Nishioka Y.
6-3 4-6 6-3
Kovacevic A.
Nishioka Y.
6462
Kovacevic A.
3631

Yoshihito Nishioka defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 4-6 6-3 in the Seoul semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Yoshihito Nishioka claimed a first win over Aleksandar Kovacevic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29WashingtonR64hardAleksandar Kovacevic4-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Nishioka Y.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishioka Y.Kovacevic A.
Serve
54
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
9.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
84
53
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Dominant
59
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 42 days (−1.0)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+48 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1611
5.9Overall Elo 1689
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1636
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Kovacevic A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast