Marc Andrea Huesler vs Pablo Carreno BustaSofia Round of 16

Sofia · ATP · Round of 16
#307ATP
1504ELO
1489Hard ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 September 2022
hard
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Huesler M.
6-3 3-6 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Huesler M.
6362
Carreno Busta P.
3621

Marc Andrea Huesler defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the Sofia round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Huesler M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Huesler M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Huesler M.Carreno Busta P.
Serve
21
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
29
78
Break points saved·Even
95
97
Break points won·Dominant
7
61
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1489
Surface ELO
7.8+255 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1504
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1801
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
94

Huesler M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast