Liudmila Samsonova vs Qinwen ZhengTokyo Final

Tokyo · WTA · Final
#41WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 September 2022
hard
#138WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
Samsonova L.
7-5 7-5
Zheng Q.
Samsonova L.
772
Zheng Q.
550

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Qinwen Zheng 7-5 7-5 in the Tokyo final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Qinwen Zheng came in leading the head-to-head 3–2, but Liudmila Samsonova had arrived on a 10-match winning run. Liudmila Samsonova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayQinwen Zheng7-6(5) 1-6 6-3
2023-08-07MontrealR32hardLiudmila Samsonova6-3 6-2
2023-03-20MiamiR32hardQinwen Zheng5-7 7-6(5) 6-3
2023-02-06Abu DhabiSFhardLiudmila Samsonova6-4 1-6 6-4
2021-07-19PalermoR32clayQinwen Zheng6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Samsonova L.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Zheng Q.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Samsonova L.Zheng Q.
38
Serve
5
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
6.4
Double faults / match·Even
4.1
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
93
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 42 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1723
Surface ELO
6.5+109 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1852
5.0
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
5.3
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
97

Samsonova L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d) · Zheng Q.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 35 km/hHumidity 76%