Brandon Nakashima vs Christopher OconnellSan Diego Semi-final

San Diego · ATP · Semi-final
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 September 2022
hard
1673ELO
1657Hard ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
Nakashima B.
6-4 7-6
Oconnell C.
Nakashima B.
6772
Oconnell C.
4630

Brandon Nakashima defeated Christopher Oconnell 6-4 7-6 in the San Diego semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29WashingtonR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Oconnell C.

Oconnell C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Oconnell C.
61
Serve
20
23
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.5
7.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.2
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
49
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Slight edge
13
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
38
Tiebreaks·Even
89
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.5+131 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1657
6.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1673
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast