Liudmila Samsonova vs Garbine MuguruzaTokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · WTA · Quarter-final
#41WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 September 2022
hard
32 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWWL
Samsonova L.
6-4 6-2
Muguruza G.
Samsonova L.
662
Muguruza G.
420

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Garbine Muguruza 6-4 6-2 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Garbine Muguruza came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Liudmila Samsonova had arrived on a 10-match winning run. Liudmila Samsonova claimed a first win over Garbine Muguruza in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-08Australian OpenR64hardGarbine Muguruza6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Samsonova L.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Muguruza G.

Muguruza G.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Serve advantage — Samsonova L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Samsonova L.Muguruza G.
38
Serve
5
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
69
72
Break points saved·Even
93
90
Break points won·Slight edge
94
88
Deciding sets·Slight edge
61
67
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
55
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
10.0
Surface form
3.8
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Samsonova L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 35 km/hHumidity 76%