Claire Liu vs Elise MertensTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 16
#111WTA
1669ELO
1635Hard ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 September 2022
hard
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Liu C.
6-4 6-1
Mertens E.
Liu C.
662
Mertens E.
410

Claire Liu defeated Elise Mertens 6-4 6-1 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elise Mertens came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Claire Liu claimed a first win over Elise Mertens in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-03MonastirSFhardElise Mertens6-4 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Liu C.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Liu C.

Serve advantage — Mertens E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Liu C.Mertens E.
Serve
51
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (188 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
80
Break points saved·Dominant
64
90
Break points won·Clear edge
78
96
Deciding sets·Even
79
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
67
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1635
Surface ELO
8.1+213 Hard Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1894
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
5.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
81

Liu C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Mertens E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 35 km/hHumidity 76%