Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Pablo Llamas RuizBraga CH Quarter-final

Braga CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#294ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 September 2022
clay
#116ATP
1757ELO
1732Clay ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-3 6-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
662
Llamas Ruiz P.
330

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-3 6-3 in the Braga CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Llamas Ruiz came in ranked #116, but Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

wins 55% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Llamas Ruiz P.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pucinelli De Almeida M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
63
Break points saved·Dominant
36
88
Break points won·Even
43
39
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
1
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Clay Elo 1404
Surface ELO
8.9+328 Clay Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1412
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1757
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
1.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
98

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Llamas Ruiz P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast