Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Timofey SkatovBraga CH Semi-final

Braga CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#872ATP
1584ELO
1538Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 September 2022
clay
#163ATP
1544ELO
1531Clay ELO
$107kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLL
Moreno De Alboran N.
3-6 7-5 6-2
Skatov T.
Moreno De Alboran N.
3762
Skatov T.
6521

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran defeated Timofey Skatov 3-6 7-5 6-2 in the Braga CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Timofey Skatov came in ranked #163, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Nicolas Moreno De Alboran had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 6 on clay. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran claimed a first win over Timofey Skatov in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-16Australian OpenQ1hardTimofey Skatov6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Moreno De Alboran N.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Skatov T.

Skatov T.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Moreno De Alboran N.

Serve advantage — Moreno De Alboran N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
2.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
29
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
81
Break points won·Clear edge
5
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
58
28
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
31

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+7 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1531
5.6Overall Elo 1584
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1544
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
3.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
4.9
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Skatov T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 89 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast