Katerina Siniakova vs Jasmine PaoliniPortoroz Quarter-final

Portoroz · WTA · Quarter-final
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 September 2022
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Siniakova K.
6-2 3-6 7-6
Paolini J.
Siniakova K.
63772
Paolini J.
26651

Katerina Siniakova defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 3-6 7-6 in the Portoroz quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, defending the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Paolini J.
21
Serve
31
64
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
89
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
87
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
97
Tiebreaks·Even
90
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1807
Surface ELO
6.0+66 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1905
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
5.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
76

Siniakova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast