Dennis Novak vs Mattia Bellucci — Szczecin CH Round of 16

Szczecin CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
AUT7
Dennis Novak
#818ATP
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 September 2022
clay
Mattia Bellucci
ITA
Mattia Bellucci
#80ATP
1720ELO
1610Clay ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Novak D.
5-7 6-4 6-4
Bellucci M.
Novak D.
5662
Bellucci M.
7441

Dennis Novak defeated Mattia Bellucci 5-7 6-4 6-4 in the Szczecin CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #80.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Novak D.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Novak D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Novak D.Bellucci M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (184 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Novak D.Bellucci M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
36
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
96
Break points won·Slight edge
15
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
33
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
77
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Novak D.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Bellucci M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Novak D.Bellucci M.
Freshness·
—
100

Bellucci M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Moutet C.[4]
Novak D.[7]
6-26-756-4
Semi-finals
Moutet C.[4]
Shevchenko A.
6-46-2
Novak D.[7]
Brancaccio R.
6-47-69
Quarter-finals
Brancaccio R.
Delbonis F.[6]
6-23-66-1
Moutet C.[4]
Arnaldi M.
7-657-5
Shevchenko A.
Carballes Baena R.[2]
6-27-5
Novak D.[7]
Choinski J.
6-16-3
R16
Delbonis F.[6]
Pellegrino A.
7-636-4
Carballes Baena R.[2]
Michalski D.
6-16-2
Shevchenko A.
Cecchinato M.[8]
6-26-2
Moutet C.[4]
Mager G.
6-26-0
Arnaldi M.
Taberner C.[5]
6-36-0
Novak D.[7]
Bellucci M.
5-76-46-4
Choinski J.
Tseng C.[3]
6-44-67-68
Brancaccio R.
Cobolli F.
6-46-4
R32
Michalski D.
Diaz Acosta F.
5-77-56-3
Mager G.
Skatov T.
6-31-66-4
Choinski J.
Janowicz J.
6-36-4
Carballes Baena R.[2]
Zekic M.
7-56-1
Delbonis F.[6]
Van Assche L.
7-656-2
Tseng C.[3]
Wessels L.
7-646-2
Novak D.[7]
Tirante T.
7-646-3
Bellucci M.
Krumich M.
6-36-2
Cobolli F.
Kasnikowski M.
3-66-36-2
Moutet C.[4]
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
7-50-66-4
Shevchenko A.
Guinard M.
6-26-3
Brancaccio R.
Coria F.[1]
6-37-65
Arnaldi M.
Vavassori A.
6-36-2
Taberner C.[5]
Kravchenko G.
6-746-06-0
Cecchinato M.[8]
Moroni G.
6-36-1
Pellegrino A.
Molleker R.
7-636-1