Corentin Moutet vs Matteo ArnaldiSzczecin CH Quarter-final

Szczecin CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#40ATP
1745ELO
1692Clay ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 September 2022
clay
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Moutet C.
7-6 7-5
Arnaldi M.
Moutet C.
7772
Arnaldi M.
6550

Corentin Moutet defeated Matteo Arnaldi 7-6 7-5 in the Szczecin CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, but Corentin Moutet had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Corentin Moutet extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersQ1hardCorentin Moutet4-6 6-0 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Moutet C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Moutet C.Arnaldi M.
Serve
61
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
82
78
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Clear edge
75
51
Deciding sets·Even
88
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2Clay Elo 1692
Surface ELO
4.8+138 Clay Elo edge
6.0Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1830
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
8.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
97

Moutet C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast