Andrey Chepelev vs Shintaro MochizukiToulouse CH Qualifying Round 2

Toulouse CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#353ATP
27 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 August 2022
clay
#115ATP
1475ELO
1433Clay ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Chepelev A.
4-6 6-1 7-6
Mochizuki S.
Chepelev A.
46772
Mochizuki S.
61631

Andrey Chepelev defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 4-6 6-1 7-6 in the Toulouse CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Chepelev A.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Chepelev A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
71%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
6.4
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
83

Chepelev A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast