Pablo Carreno Busta vs Dominic Thiem — US Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 August 2022
hard
AUT
Dominic Thiem
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWL
Carreno Busta P.
7-5 6-1 5-7 6-3
Thiem D.
Carreno Busta P.
76563
Thiem D.
51731

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Dominic Thiem 7-5 6-1 5-7 6-3 in the US Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Dominic Thiem came in leading the head-to-head 7–0. Pablo Carreno Busta claimed a first win over Dominic Thiem in eight meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Pablo Carreno Busta came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1 5–7 6–3.

Head to head

0–7
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-10-21ViennaQFhardDominic Thiem5-0 RET
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersR32hardDominic Thiem7-6(3) 6-3
2017-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardDominic Thiem6-3 3-6 6-4
2017-02-20Rio de JaneiroFclayDominic Thiem7-5 6-4
2016-08-29US OpenR32hardDominic Thiem1-6 6-4 6-4 7-5
2016-02-08Buenos AiresR32clayDominic Thiem6-0 3-6 6-3
2015-07-27GstaadQFclayDominic Thiem6-4 3-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Thiem D.

Thiem D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Thiem D.
21
Serve
—
44
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Thiem D.
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Thiem D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
85
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Even
61
58
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Thiem D.
Freshness·
90
—

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CDrizzle
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw

Final
Alcaraz C.
Ruud C.
6-42-67-616-3
Semi-finals
Ruud C.
Khachanov K.
7-656-25-76-2
Alcaraz C.
Tiafoe F.
6-766-36-16-756-3
Quarter-finals
Khachanov K.
Kyrgios N.
7-54-67-56-736-4
Ruud C.
Berrettini M.
6-16-47-64
Tiafoe F.
Rublev A.
7-637-606-4
Alcaraz C.
Sinner J.
6-36-776-707-56-3
R16
Kyrgios N.
Medvedev D.
7-6113-66-36-2
Tiafoe F.
Nadal R.
6-44-66-46-3
Rublev A.
Norrie C.
6-46-46-4
Alcaraz C.
Cilic M.
6-43-66-44-66-3
Khachanov K.
Carreno Busta P.
4-66-36-14-66-3
Berrettini M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
3-67-626-34-66-2
Ruud C.
Moutet C.
6-16-26-746-2
Sinner J.
Ivashka I.
6-15-76-24-66-3
R32
Khachanov K.
Draper J.
6-34-66-5
Sinner J.
Nakashima B.
3-66-46-16-2
Ivashka I.
Musetti L.
6-43-66-26-3
Ruud C.
Paul T.
7-636-757-625-76-0
Berrettini M.
Murray A.
6-46-46-716-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Galan D.
6-45-76-46-4
Nadal R.
Gasquet R.
6-06-17-5
Tiafoe F.
Schwartzman D.
7-676-46-4
Rublev A.
Shapovalov D.
6-42-66-736-47-67
Norrie C.
Rune H.
7-56-46-1
Carreno Busta P.
De Minaur A.
6-16-13-67-65
Kyrgios N.
Wolf J.
6-46-26-3
Medvedev D.
Wu Y.
6-46-26-2
Alcaraz C.
Brooksby J.
6-36-36-3
Cilic M.
Evans D.
7-6116-736-27-5
Moutet C.
Cachin P.
6-34-66-27-5
R64
Berrettini M.
Grenier H.
2-66-17-647-67
Sinner J.
Eubanks C.
6-47-686-2
Nakashima B.
Dimitrov G.
7-657-56-3
Brooksby J.
Coric B.
6-47-6106-1
Evans D.
Duckworth J.
6-36-24-66-4
Cilic M.
Ramos A.
6-37-646-3
Musetti L.
Brouwer G.
6-716-36-46-2
Ivashka I.
Hurkacz H.
6-44-67-656-3
Ruud C.
Van Rijthoven T.
6-746-46-46-4
Paul T.
Korda S.
6-03-64-66-36-4
Moutet C.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-41-66-26-4
Rune H.
Isner J.
W/O
Schwartzman D.
Popyrin A.
7-637-57-66
Rublev A.
Kwon S.
6-36-06-4
Shapovalov D.
Carballes Baena R.
6-44-66-36-2
Norrie C.
Sousa J.
6-46-47-64
Alcaraz C.
Coria F.
6-26-17-5
Nadal R.
Fognini F.
2-66-46-26-1
Gasquet R.
Kecmanovic M.
6-26-44-66-4
Tiafoe F.
Kubler J.
7-637-57-62
Murray A.
Nava E.
5-76-36-16-0
Davidovich Fokina A.
Fucsovics M.
7-635-73-66-07-63
Galan D.
Thompson J.
6-32-63-66-46-3
Draper J.
Auger Aliassime F.
6-46-46-4
Khachanov K.
Monteiro T.
6-36-35-76-4
De Minaur A.
Garin C.
6-36-04-66-2
Carreno Busta P.
Bublik A.
4-66-46-37-65
Wolf J.
Tabilo A.
4-67-56-46-3
Kyrgios N.
Bonzi B.
7-636-44-66-4
Wu Y.
Borges N.
6-737-644-66-46-4
Medvedev D.
Rinderknech A.
6-27-56-3
Cachin P.
Holt B.
1-62-66-17-617-66
R128
Coria F.
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-3
Coric B.
Couacaud E.
6-27-653-64-67-5
Van De Zandschulp B.
Machac T.
3-67-636-13-67-5
Cachin P.
Bedene A.
6-46-35-71-67-66
Holt B.
Fritz T.
6-737-616-36-4
Nava E.
Millman J.
7-674-67-641-66-1
Schwartzman D.
Sock J.
3-65-76-01-0
Alcaraz C.
Baez S.
7-57-52-0
Brooksby J.
Lajovic D.
6-26-03-0
Moutet C.
Wawrinka S.
6-47-67
Fucsovics M.
Cressy M.
6-747-55-1
Monteiro T.
Molcan A.
6-44-66-46-1
Davidovich Fokina A.
Nishioka Y.
6-37-56-3
Thompson J.
Sonego L.
2-61-66-26-46-4
Eubanks C.
Martinez P.
7-56-37-63
Nakashima B.
Kotov P.
7-646-26-2
Dimitrov G.
Johnson S.
6-36-26-2
Musetti L.
Goffin D.
3-67-56-43-67-69
Brouwer G.
Mannarino A.
6-36-46-4
Rublev A.
Djere L.
7-656-33-64-66-4
Kwon S.
Verdasco F.
6-26-746-36-3
Carballes Baena R.
Munar J.
6-16-34-66-2
Shapovalov D.
Huesler M.
2-66-46-43-66-1
Rune H.
Gojowczyk P.
6-26-47-65
Isner J.
Delbonis F.
6-36-17-5
Nadal R.
Hijikata R.
4-66-26-36-3
Fognini F.
Karatsev A.
1-65-76-46-16-4
Gasquet R.
Daniel T.
6-46-716-26-2
Kecmanovic M.
Tien L.
3-66-16-36-3
Galan D.
Tsitsipas S.
6-06-13-67-5
Auger Aliassime F.
Ritschard A.
6-36-43-66-3
Draper J.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-46-36-3
Khachanov K.
Kudla D.
3-66-16-26-2
De Minaur A.
Krajinovic F.
7-56-26-3
Garin C.
Lehecka J.
3-67-637-56-1
Bublik A.
Gaston H.
6-46-46-4
Carreno Busta P.
Thiem D.
7-56-15-76-3
Wolf J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-46-4
Tabilo A.
Majchrzak K.
6-16-46-736-1
Bonzi B.
Humbert U.
7-616-15-73-66-2
Kyrgios N.
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-47-64
Wu Y.
Basilashvili N.
6-36-46-0
Borges N.
Shelton B.
7-663-67-656-786-3
Rinderknech A.
Halys Q.
4-67-646-36-2
Medvedev D.
Kozlov S.
6-26-46-0
Tiafoe F.
Giron M.
7-606-46-3
Kubler J.
Ymer M.
5-76-46-26-4
Popyrin A.
Tseng C.
6-37-657-63
Sousa J.
Mcdonald M.
1-67-647-646-3
Norrie C.
Paire B.
6-07-616-0
Evans D.
Vesely J.
6-46-16-1
Duckworth J.
Oconnell C.
4-67-606-26-3
Ramos A.
Gombos N.
6-36-47-5
Cilic M.
Marterer M.
6-36-27-5
Sinner J.
Altmaier D.
5-76-26-13-66-1
Ivashka I.
Querrey S.
4-66-47-686-3
Hurkacz H.
Otte O.
6-46-26-4
Ruud C.
Edmund K.
6-37-56-2
Van Rijthoven T.
Zhang Z.
3-66-747-696-16-4
Korda S.
Bagnis F.
5-77-637-56-1
Paul T.
Zapata Miralles B.
4-66-32-66-07-5
Berrettini M.
Jarry N.
6-26-36-3
Grenier H.
Etcheverry T.
4-66-26-36-4
Murray A.
Cerundolo F.
7-56-36-3