Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alex De Minaur — US Open Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Round of 32
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 August 2022
hard
Alex De Minaur
AUS
Alex De Minaur
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Carreno Busta P.
6-1 6-1 3-6 7-6
De Minaur A.
Carreno Busta P.
663773
De Minaur A.
116651

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Alex De Minaur 6-1 6-1 3-6 7-6 in the US Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, defending last year's round of 128. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Pablo Carreno Busta came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 6–1 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayPablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-1 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.De Minaur A.
21
Serve
48
44
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.De Minaur A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.De Minaur A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
95
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
61
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
97
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.De Minaur A.
Freshness·Clear edge
92
80

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CDrizzle
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw

Final
Alcaraz C.
Ruud C.
6-42-67-616-3
Semi-finals
Ruud C.
Khachanov K.
7-656-25-76-2
Alcaraz C.
Tiafoe F.
6-766-36-16-756-3
Quarter-finals
Khachanov K.
Kyrgios N.
7-54-67-56-736-4
Ruud C.
Berrettini M.
6-16-47-64
Tiafoe F.
Rublev A.
7-637-606-4
Alcaraz C.
Sinner J.
6-36-776-707-56-3
R16
Kyrgios N.
Medvedev D.
7-6113-66-36-2
Tiafoe F.
Nadal R.
6-44-66-46-3
Rublev A.
Norrie C.
6-46-46-4
Alcaraz C.
Cilic M.
6-43-66-44-66-3
Khachanov K.
Carreno Busta P.
4-66-36-14-66-3
Berrettini M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
3-67-626-34-66-2
Ruud C.
Moutet C.
6-16-26-746-2
Sinner J.
Ivashka I.
6-15-76-24-66-3
R32
Khachanov K.
Draper J.
6-34-66-5
Sinner J.
Nakashima B.
3-66-46-16-2
Ivashka I.
Musetti L.
6-43-66-26-3
Ruud C.
Paul T.
7-636-757-625-76-0
Berrettini M.
Murray A.
6-46-46-716-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Galan D.
6-45-76-46-4
Nadal R.
Gasquet R.
6-06-17-5
Tiafoe F.
Schwartzman D.
7-676-46-4
Rublev A.
Shapovalov D.
6-42-66-736-47-67
Norrie C.
Rune H.
7-56-46-1
Carreno Busta P.
De Minaur A.
6-16-13-67-65
Kyrgios N.
Wolf J.
6-46-26-3
Medvedev D.
Wu Y.
6-46-26-2
Alcaraz C.
Brooksby J.
6-36-36-3
Cilic M.
Evans D.
7-6116-736-27-5
Moutet C.
Cachin P.
6-34-66-27-5
R64
Berrettini M.
Grenier H.
2-66-17-647-67
Sinner J.
Eubanks C.
6-47-686-2
Nakashima B.
Dimitrov G.
7-657-56-3
Brooksby J.
Coric B.
6-47-6106-1
Evans D.
Duckworth J.
6-36-24-66-4
Cilic M.
Ramos A.
6-37-646-3
Musetti L.
Brouwer G.
6-716-36-46-2
Ivashka I.
Hurkacz H.
6-44-67-656-3
Ruud C.
Van Rijthoven T.
6-746-46-46-4
Paul T.
Korda S.
6-03-64-66-36-4
Moutet C.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-41-66-26-4
Rune H.
Isner J.
W/O
Schwartzman D.
Popyrin A.
7-637-57-66
Rublev A.
Kwon S.
6-36-06-4
Shapovalov D.
Carballes Baena R.
6-44-66-36-2
Norrie C.
Sousa J.
6-46-47-64
Alcaraz C.
Coria F.
6-26-17-5
Nadal R.
Fognini F.
2-66-46-26-1
Gasquet R.
Kecmanovic M.
6-26-44-66-4
Tiafoe F.
Kubler J.
7-637-57-62
Murray A.
Nava E.
5-76-36-16-0
Davidovich Fokina A.
Fucsovics M.
7-635-73-66-07-63
Galan D.
Thompson J.
6-32-63-66-46-3
Draper J.
Auger Aliassime F.
6-46-46-4
Khachanov K.
Monteiro T.
6-36-35-76-4
De Minaur A.
Garin C.
6-36-04-66-2
Carreno Busta P.
Bublik A.
4-66-46-37-65
Wolf J.
Tabilo A.
4-67-56-46-3
Kyrgios N.
Bonzi B.
7-636-44-66-4
Wu Y.
Borges N.
6-737-644-66-46-4
Medvedev D.
Rinderknech A.
6-27-56-3
Cachin P.
Holt B.
1-62-66-17-617-66
R128
Coria F.
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-3
Coric B.
Couacaud E.
6-27-653-64-67-5
Van De Zandschulp B.
Machac T.
3-67-636-13-67-5
Cachin P.
Bedene A.
6-46-35-71-67-66
Holt B.
Fritz T.
6-737-616-36-4
Nava E.
Millman J.
7-674-67-641-66-1
Schwartzman D.
Sock J.
3-65-76-01-0
Alcaraz C.
Baez S.
7-57-52-0
Brooksby J.
Lajovic D.
6-26-03-0
Moutet C.
Wawrinka S.
6-47-67
Fucsovics M.
Cressy M.
6-747-55-1
Monteiro T.
Molcan A.
6-44-66-46-1
Davidovich Fokina A.
Nishioka Y.
6-37-56-3
Thompson J.
Sonego L.
2-61-66-26-46-4
Eubanks C.
Martinez P.
7-56-37-63
Nakashima B.
Kotov P.
7-646-26-2
Dimitrov G.
Johnson S.
6-36-26-2
Musetti L.
Goffin D.
3-67-56-43-67-69
Brouwer G.
Mannarino A.
6-36-46-4
Rublev A.
Djere L.
7-656-33-64-66-4
Kwon S.
Verdasco F.
6-26-746-36-3
Carballes Baena R.
Munar J.
6-16-34-66-2
Shapovalov D.
Huesler M.
2-66-46-43-66-1
Rune H.
Gojowczyk P.
6-26-47-65
Isner J.
Delbonis F.
6-36-17-5
Nadal R.
Hijikata R.
4-66-26-36-3
Fognini F.
Karatsev A.
1-65-76-46-16-4
Gasquet R.
Daniel T.
6-46-716-26-2
Kecmanovic M.
Tien L.
3-66-16-36-3
Galan D.
Tsitsipas S.
6-06-13-67-5
Auger Aliassime F.
Ritschard A.
6-36-43-66-3
Draper J.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-46-36-3
Khachanov K.
Kudla D.
3-66-16-26-2
De Minaur A.
Krajinovic F.
7-56-26-3
Garin C.
Lehecka J.
3-67-637-56-1
Bublik A.
Gaston H.
6-46-46-4
Carreno Busta P.
Thiem D.
7-56-15-76-3
Wolf J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-46-4
Tabilo A.
Majchrzak K.
6-16-46-736-1
Bonzi B.
Humbert U.
7-616-15-73-66-2
Kyrgios N.
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-47-64
Wu Y.
Basilashvili N.
6-36-46-0
Borges N.
Shelton B.
7-663-67-656-786-3
Rinderknech A.
Halys Q.
4-67-646-36-2
Medvedev D.
Kozlov S.
6-26-46-0
Tiafoe F.
Giron M.
7-606-46-3
Kubler J.
Ymer M.
5-76-46-26-4
Popyrin A.
Tseng C.
6-37-657-63
Sousa J.
Mcdonald M.
1-67-647-646-3
Norrie C.
Paire B.
6-07-616-0
Evans D.
Vesely J.
6-46-16-1
Duckworth J.
Oconnell C.
4-67-606-26-3
Ramos A.
Gombos N.
6-36-47-5
Cilic M.
Marterer M.
6-36-27-5
Sinner J.
Altmaier D.
5-76-26-13-66-1
Ivashka I.
Querrey S.
4-66-47-686-3
Hurkacz H.
Otte O.
6-46-26-4
Ruud C.
Edmund K.
6-37-56-2
Van Rijthoven T.
Zhang Z.
3-66-747-696-16-4
Korda S.
Bagnis F.
5-77-637-56-1
Paul T.
Zapata Miralles B.
4-66-32-66-07-5
Berrettini M.
Jarry N.
6-26-36-3
Grenier H.
Etcheverry T.
4-66-26-36-4
Murray A.
Cerundolo F.
7-56-36-3