Jasmine Paolini vs Himeno SakatsumeGranby Round of 32

Granby · WTA · Round of 32
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 August 2022
hard
#123WTA
1611ELO
1599Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
Paolini J.
7-6 6-4
Sakatsume H.
Paolini J.
7862
Sakatsume H.
6640

Jasmine Paolini defeated Himeno Sakatsume 7-6 6-4 in the Granby round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-10BJK Cup QualifiersRRJasmine Paolini6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sakatsume H.

Sakatsume H.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Sakatsume H.
31
Serve
55
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 118). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
64
Break points won·Even
99
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
62
Tiebreaks·
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
8.4+274 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1599
8.6Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1611
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
72
100

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Sakatsume H.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast