Aryna Sabalenka vs Shelby RogersCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 August 2022
hard
33 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLWL
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-7 6-4
Rogers S.
Sabalenka A.
66262
Rogers S.
47741

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Shelby Rogers 6-4 6-7 6-4 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-20MiamiR64hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenR64hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
2022-06-06s HertogenboschSFgrassAryna Sabalenka7-6(6) 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rogers S.

Rogers S.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Rogers S.
96
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
42
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
86
Break points won·Clear edge
100
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
15
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
54

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
5.2
0.0
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
7.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw