Jessica Pegula vs Emma RaducanuCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 August 2022
hard
#38WTA
1834ELO
1773Hard ELO
$605kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLWL
Pegula J.
7-5 6-4
Raducanu E.
Pegula J.
762
Raducanu E.
540

Jessica Pegula defeated Emma Raducanu 7-5 6-4 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR32hardJessica Pegula3-6 7-6(9) 6-0
2025-03-18MiamiQFhardJessica Pegula6-4 6-7(3) 6-2
2024-06-24EastbourneR16grassEmma Raducanu4-6 7-6(6) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Raducanu E.

Raducanu E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Raducanu E.
68
Serve
32
73
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 139). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
64
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
29
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+285 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1773
8.4Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1834
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
4.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
5.3
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.8
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw